Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.384177 1.587097 1.810031 2.073227 2.375626 2.712388 3.116156
2025-07-06 1.035013 1.284493 1.581207 1.960516 2.433212 3.003805 3.746340
2025-07-13 0.874835 1.162543 1.529029 2.031041 2.702521 3.572166 4.788155
2025-07-20 0.761331 1.074796 1.499107 2.117126 2.997555 4.211772 6.022457
2025-07-27 0.667666 0.994966 1.462777 2.182778 3.268362 4.852837 7.357420
2025-08-03 0.583614 0.913216 1.408040 2.208607 3.479424 5.432360 8.687803
2025-08-10 0.496614 0.812188 1.307514 2.146071 3.541022 5.787832 9.719495
2025-08-17 0.417327 0.710609 1.190050 2.036128 3.505369 5.976206 10.497625
2025-08-24 0.367735 0.650306 1.130209 2.010835 3.603224 6.392457 11.716978
2025-08-31 0.324478 0.594425 1.069524 1.973786 3.672106 6.762754 12.902013
2025-09-07 0.305016 0.578086 1.075468 2.056127 3.966679 7.574532 15.022946
2025-09-14 0.280823 0.549472 1.054829 2.084817 4.161926 8.223476 16.919674
2025-09-21 0.251469 0.508241 1.007351 2.059578 4.257573 8.711347 18.609658
2025-09-28 0.218473 0.455377 0.930469 1.964876 4.199529 8.884459 19.675206
2025-10-05 0.207039 0.445139 0.937866 2.046113 4.522940 9.897462 22.732597
2025-10-12 0.197580 0.437738 0.950075 2.139325 4.886234 11.049659 26.296684
2025-10-19 0.186938 0.426251 0.951905 2.209602 5.208215 12.156897 29.941184
2025-10-26 0.174127 0.408094 0.936536 2.238083 5.436937 13.082389 33.299721
2025-11-02 0.156462 0.376283 0.885959 2.176020 5.438741 13.467732 35.365150
2025-11-09 0.137814 0.339625 0.819301 2.065247 5.303173 13.495050 36.502734
2025-11-16 0.126358 0.319063 0.788570 2.040011 5.381733 14.073912 39.216008
2025-11-23 0.115432 0.298399 0.754957 2.002657 5.423100 14.562254 41.763020
2025-11-30 0.111735 0.295846 0.766604 2.086379 5.803023 16.010655 47.294795